Nintendo Forecasts Cautious Switch 2 Sales Amid Tariff Concerns

Nintendo has released a cautious sales forecast for the Switch 2, citing uncertainties surrounding ongoing tariff policies.

In its financial report today, Nintendo projected 15 million Switch 2 units and 45 million game sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 launches on June 5.

Nintendo noted that its forecast assumes current U.S. tariff rates, effective since April 10, will remain unchanged throughout the fiscal year. However, it acknowledged potential adjustments if tariff policies shift. “We will keep monitoring market conditions to adapt as needed,” Nintendo stated.

Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, described the 15 million unit forecast as “conservative” in a tweet, suggesting Nintendo is accounting for uncertainties around tariffs, pricing, and production despite strong pre-order demand.

Ahmad added that Nintendo might revise its forecast upward if tariffs ease. “The challenge lies in the ripple effects already impacting the console launch environment, alongside the risk of higher tariffs,” he noted.

Notably, achieving 15 million Switch 2 sales in its debut year would mark one of the most successful console launches ever, surpassing the original Switch’s 14.87 million units sold in its first year.

Did you secure a Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order?

Yes!No!I’m waiting for the official release

AnswerSee Results

Demand for the Switch 2 appears exceptionally high. Following a tariff-related delay, pre-orders began on April 24, with the console priced at $449.99 — and they sold out rapidly, as anticipated. Meanwhile, Nintendo has cautioned U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store, stating that high demand may prevent guaranteed delivery on the release date.

Visit IGN’s Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide for more details.